Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
7 - 0
GRO
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VOL
1 - 1
PSV
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
PSV
3 - 0
TEL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
PSV
2 - 0
BOS
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEY
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |