Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 2
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 0
TIR
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
PSV
3 - 0
SHS
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
PSV
4 - 0
STB
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
NAC
0 - 3
PSV
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
PSV
6 - 0
AZA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZLI
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |