Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOS
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
22%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ELI
1 - 2
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
PSV
3 - 2
VVD
67%
17%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
VVV
1 - 5
PSV
35%
22%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
PSV
1 - 2
FOR
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
PSV
2 - 2
DWS
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ENS
2 - 2
PSV
48%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |