Ajax vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TWE
3 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
LUD
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 4
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
TFC
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |