Europa League Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Ajax vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 5
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 2
LYO
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
BJK
2 - 1
LYO
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 1
BJK
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |