Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 2
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
KOZ
1 - 6
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |