Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 3
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 3
FEY
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
VVV
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |