Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
MUD
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
ADO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |