Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 0
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
BRU
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
SCH
0 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 0
VIT
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 1
RKC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |