Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
0 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
SGD
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GRO
0 - 0
AJA
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
NEC
1 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VOL
0 - 1
NEC
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
NEC
2 - 1
TEL
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
UTR
3 - 1
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
18%
26%
57%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |