Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 4
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1969 |
ACM
4 - 1
AJA
55%
22%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 1
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
2 - 4
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |