Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
56%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 0
VVV
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
6 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
71%
16%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
AZA
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
ADO
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
28%
23%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |