Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
LYN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |