Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
DNI
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
FCD
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 4
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |