Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
90%
8%
2%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
KAT
0 - 0
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |