Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 0
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TEL
0 - 1
NAC
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |