Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 5
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 4
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 4
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
4 - 2
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |