Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
BRU
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 3
SCH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 2
AZA
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |