Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUD
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 3
VOL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
ZWO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VOL
3 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
NAC
0 - 0
RJC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |