Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
70%
15%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 2
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 0
AJA
20%
19%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
AJA
0 - 2
MVV
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
NAC
4 - 1
VOL
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MVV
2 - 2
NAC
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 3
NAC
42%
24%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENS
56%
21%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |