Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
AJA
68%
17%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
DYN
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MVV
2 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BOS
3 - 1
MVV
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
MVV
1 - 1
RBC
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
FCE
2 - 3
MVV
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
ZWO
0 - 0
MVV
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |