Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 2
VIT
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
ADO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
RJC
3 - 2
MVV
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 3
MVV
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
MVV
2 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
RKC
1 - 0
MVV
64%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |