Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 2
RJC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1982 |
MVV
0 - 1
ZWO
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 2
MVV
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
MVV
0 - 3
UTR
36%
27%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 2
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |