Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AZA
3 - 0
AJA
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
JUV
1 - 0
AJA
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
AZA
2 - 0
MVV
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
MVV
2 - 2
HFC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
4 - 2
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 0
GAE
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |