Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
23%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
AJA
8 - 0
SVV
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
AJA
6 - 1
DWS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
MVV
0 - 1
SHS
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1970 |
NAC
3 - 1
MVV
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
SPA
4 - 3
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
MVV
0 - 1
GAE
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |