Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 3
FEY
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
VVD
1 - 7
AJA
22%
23%
54%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
ARS
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
MVV
2 - 1
SVV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
TEL
1 - 1
MVV
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
MVV
2 - 1
DWS
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 1
MVV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
FEY
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |