Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 2
DWS
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VOL
1 - 4
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
VVD
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
AJA
3 - 0
TEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MVV
1 - 0
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 0
MVV
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MVV
0 - 0
XER
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
PSV
0 - 3
MVV
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
MVV
0 - 1
TWE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |