Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
ADO
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 3
VOL
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MVV
1 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 0
MVV
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
31%
23%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
WIL
4 - 2
MVV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MVV
2 - 2
VVD
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |