Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
AJA
8 - 0
DWS
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ENS
2 - 0
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
VVD
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MVV
1 - 2
ENS
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
MVV
3 - 0
VOL
52%
22%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 1
MVV
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
GRO
2 - 2
MVV
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MVV
0 - 0
DWS
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |