Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
DWS
1 - 1
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
AJA
5 - 2
GRO
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
37%
22%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MVV
3 - 3
PSV
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FEY
2 - 2
MVV
77%
14%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MVV
0 - 3
VVV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 1
MVV
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
MVV
1 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |