Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 2
PSV
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
ELI
2 - 4
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
FOR
1 - 2
MVV
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
MVV
2 - 0
ELI
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
ADO
3 - 2
MVV
65%
18%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
MVV
5 - 3
VOL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
RAP
2 - 1
MVV
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |