Ajax vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WBA
1 - 2
MAC
21%
24%
54%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
BVB
56%
22%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 2
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 4
ASV
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |