Ajax vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RKC
1 - 4
AJA
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
7 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 2
AJA
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 6
NAP
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NTT
1 - 0
LIV
5%
12%
83%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
WHU
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAC
39%
24%
37%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 7
LIV
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 2
LIV
23%
22%
55%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | -1 |