UCL Last 16
Global 4-2
Ajax vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AJA
5 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
1 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
AJA
4 - 0
LSK
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
4 - 1
CSK
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
LSO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
1 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
0 - 0
BER
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AKA
0 - 0
LSO
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |