Europa League Last 16
Global 3-3
Ajax vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 3
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
78%
14%
9%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
AMS
0 - 2
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1975 |
LSO
2 - 1
MSV
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1975 |
MSV
3 - 2
LSO
52%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ESK
1 - 4
LSO
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1975 |
LSO
3 - 0
ESK
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
BER
2 - 3
LSO
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |