Ajax vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 2
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
DBU
2 - 4
WAR
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 2
QAR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 3
ZEN
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |