Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 1-0
Ajax vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 3
RAP
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
1 - 1
SLI
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
VJI
1 - 0
JAB
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 3
JAB
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
2 - 2
BOH
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
JAB
0 - 1
FCK
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |