Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
88 ELO 82
3.1% Tilt 20.9%
106º General ELO ranking 380º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Ajax
21.3%
Draw
18%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
Ajax
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18%
Win probability
Heracles
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+1%
-4%
Heracles

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
Heracles
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
38
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
79
79
100%
Ajax
78
78
100%
Feyenoord
68
68
100%
Utrecht
64
64
100%
AZ Alkmaar
57
57
100%
Twente
54
54
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
51
51
100%
NEC Nijmegen
43
43
0%
Heerenveen
43
43
0%
PEC Zwolle
10º
41
41
10º
0%
Fortuna Sittard
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Sparta Rotterdam
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Groningen
13º
39
39
13º
0%
Heracles
14º
38
38
14º
100%
NAC Breda
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Willem II
16º
26
26
16º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Almere City
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
Heracles
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2025
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
38%
24%
39%
89 88 1 0
09 Feb. 2025
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
21%
22%
57%
89 80 9 0
02 Feb. 2025
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
42%
24%
35%
89 89 0 0
30 Jan. 2025
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Galatasaray SK
GAL
51%
23%
27%
89 86 3 0
23 Jan. 2025
RIG
FK RFS
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
20%
20%
60%
89 77 12 0

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
HER
Heracles
4 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
38%
25%
37%
82 86 4 0
04 Feb. 2025
HER
Heracles
2 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
25%
23%
52%
81 89 8 +1
31 Jan. 2025
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
32%
26%
41%
81 77 4 0
28 Jan. 2025
HER
Heracles
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
42%
25%
34%
81 82 1 0
24 Jan. 2025
HER
Heracles
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
25%
23%
53%
81 89 8 0