Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 2
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 3
WOL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
1 - 0
HER
11%
15%
75%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
FIO
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
HER
5 - 0
ROS
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
KAS
35%
23%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |