Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
86 ELO 71
6.6% Tilt 22.3%
103º General ELO ranking 382º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
76.7%
Ajax
15.2%
Draw
8%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
Ajax
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
Heracles
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+10%
Heracles

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2018
SDL
Standard de Liège
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
35%
24%
41%
86 82 4 0
03 Aug. 2018
AJA
Ajax
0 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
59%
22%
19%
86 84 2 0
01 Aug. 2018
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
32%
24%
43%
86 82 4 0
25 Jul. 2018
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
61%
21%
18%
85 82 3 +1
19 Jul. 2018
WOL
Wolves
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
25%
24%
51%
85 78 7 0

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2018
HEL
Helmond Sport
1 - 0
Heracles
HER
11%
15%
75%
71 52 19 0
01 Aug. 2018
HER
Heracles
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
25%
24%
50%
71 86 15 0
31 Jul. 2018
HER
Heracles
5 - 0
Rosenborg II
ROS
86%
10%
4%
71 41 30 0
28 Jul. 2018
HER
Heracles
1 - 1
Kasımpaşa
KAS
35%
23%
42%
71 76 5 0
25 Jul. 2018
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Almere City
ALM
65%
19%
16%
71 59 12 0