Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
BVO
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
KON
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |