Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
CEL
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
ASW
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 3
GRO
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 5
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 2
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |