Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 3
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 2
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ADO
3 - 1
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HER
3 - 5
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |