Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 4
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |