Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |