Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
DWS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
55%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
VVD
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
HER
3 - 0
FEY
25%
21%
53%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
FOR
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
DWS
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |