Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
9º
2º
43
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 3
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
VOJ
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
OLP
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
WAS
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 0
RAY
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
ZWO
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 1
FCD
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |