Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 4
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 2
FLA
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 4
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 4
ING
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
56%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
ODI
1 - 3
SCH
4%
8%
88%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 3
UTR
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |