Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
16%
21%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 3
DZG
59%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
6 - 1
VVV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
VVV
0 - 4
SCH
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
AZA
0 - 1
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SCH
9 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
HEL
5 - 1
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 0
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |