Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1991 |
AJA
2 - 0
SVV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
PSV
4 - 1
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
AJA
1 - 0
MVV
84%
11%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
NEC
0 - 5
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1991 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
55%
25%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
SCH
3 - 0
ADO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
SCH
4 - 1
RKC
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |