Copa de Ferias 1/32
Global 4-2
Ajax vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HAN
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
42%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
18%
67%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 4
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
HAN
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
42%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
HAN
3 - 1
MUN
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1969 |
MSV
1 - 0
HAN
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
HAN
3 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
EBT
1 - 1
HAN
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |